Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Hartman 47.2% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 81.8%
Defensive zone
Vermette 80.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 58.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Vermette
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vermette
Hartman
Last 7: Vermette 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Vermette
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Vermette
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
45.8% (190)
+14.7%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
36.4% (11)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
100.0% (2)
-43.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Vermette is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Vermette shoots left. Hartman is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Vermette
Hartman
Home
63.0% (481)
51.8% (112)
Away
57.3% (534)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Vermette
Hartman
P1
61.6%
44.2%
P2
60.4%
44.1%
P3
58.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |