Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Vermette wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Kesler 56.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 55.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 63.6%
Neutral zone
Vermette 50.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Vermette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
9
(28 meetings)
19
9
Vermette
Kesler
Last 10: Vermette 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
11
2
Vermette
Kesler
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
5
Vermette
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
2
Vermette
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
57.4% (1,185)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
58.0% (243)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
49.2% (236)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Vermette is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Vermette shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Vermette
Kesler
Home
56.8% (694)
58.5% (793)
Away
54.1% (883)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Vermette
Kesler
P1
52.5%
57.0%
P2
56.8%
55.4%
P3
56.7%
56.7%
OT
55.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 7, 2014 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |