Antoine Vermette vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 33 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 66-42 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 59.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 56.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 56.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Vermette
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
66
-
42
(108 meetings)
66
42
Vermette
O'Reilly
Last 10: Vermette 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
23
13
Vermette
O'Reilly
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
19
20
Vermette
O'Reilly
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
24
9
Vermette
O'Reilly
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
56.2% (15,249)
+0.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
58.8% (3,443)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
51.4% (2,806)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,858).
Home / Away
Vermette
O'Reilly
Home
58.3% (5,008)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
54.4% (10,769)
By Period
Vermette
O'Reilly
P1
56.9%
55.6%
P2
58.4%
57.0%
P3
56.2%
55.0%
OT
55.4%
62.1%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |