Antoine Vermette vs Ryan O'Reilly
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Vermette wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 93.2%
Defensive zone
Vermette 58.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 69.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Vermette
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
4
(22 meetings)
18
4
Vermette
O'Reilly
Last 10: Vermette 9-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
6
1
Vermette
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
9
2
Vermette
O'Reilly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
53.4% (770)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
55.6% (54)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
44.4% (196)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vermette is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Vermette shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Vermette
O'Reilly
Home
55.8% (749)
53.5% (533)
Away
55.4% (791)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Vermette
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
50.8%
P2
59.2%
52.4%
P3
52.5%
51.6%
OT
55.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | OT | 02:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |