Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 28 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Ott 55.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 33-28 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 72.8%
Defensive zone
Ott 56.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 58.4%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Vermette
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
28
(61 meetings)
33
28
Vermette
Ott
Last 10: Vermette 6-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
24
4
Vermette
Ott
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
20
Vermette
Ott
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
4
Vermette
Ott
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
57.2% (2,802)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
55.4% (567)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
49.9% (853)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ott
Home
58.3% (5,008)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Vermette
Ott
P1
56.9%
56.7%
P2
58.4%
53.9%
P3
56.2%
55.7%
OT
55.4%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 23, 2013 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 20, 2012 | OT | 03:16 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |