Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Ott 54.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 66.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 64.2%
Neutral zone
Ott 55.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Vermette
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vermette
Ott
Last 6: Vermette 3-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Vermette
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Vermette
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
59.6% (228)
-4.9%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
71.4% (7)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
38.8% (49)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Vermette is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vermette shoots left. Ott is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ott
Home
56.8% (694)
61.9% (126)
Away
54.1% (883)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Vermette
Ott
P1
52.5%
65.4%
P2
56.8%
50.0%
P3
56.7%
55.1%
OT
55.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |