Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Oshie 45.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 70.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 69.4%
Neutral zone
Vermette 59.4%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Vermette
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Vermette
Oshie
Last 9: Vermette 5-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Vermette
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
2
Vermette
Oshie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
46.8% (186)
+8.8%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
25.0% (16)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
36.0% (25)
+19.4%
On power play, Vermette has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Vermette is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Vermette shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Vermette
Oshie
Home
55.8% (749)
47.2% (106)
Away
55.4% (791)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Vermette
Oshie
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
59.2%
40.8%
P3
52.5%
37.5%
OT
55.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |