Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Lewis 45.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 80.5%
Defensive zone
Vermette 85.0%
Neutral zone
Vermette 88.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Vermette
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Vermette
Lewis
Last 7: Vermette 5-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Vermette
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
43.0% (158)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
37.5% (8)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
45.5% (11)
+6.9%
On power play, Vermette has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Vermette is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Vermette shoots left. Lewis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Vermette
Lewis
Home
56.8% (694)
50.0% (92)
Away
54.1% (883)
35.3% (85)
By Period
Vermette
Lewis
P1
52.5%
44.6%
P2
56.8%
41.1%
P3
56.7%
43.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
32.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |