Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Lewis 42.9% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 85.7%
Defensive zone
Vermette 88.4%
Neutral zone
Vermette 70.6%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Vermette
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vermette
Lewis
Last 6: Vermette 4-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
41.4% (198)
+12.7%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
64.3% (14)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
26.7% (45)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Vermette is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Vermette shoots left. Lewis is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Vermette
Lewis
Home
55.9% (690)
41.0% (134)
Away
55.7% (661)
39.0% (123)
By Period
Vermette
Lewis
P1
51.8%
40.0%
P2
55.0%
38.2%
P3
60.3%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |