Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 68.6%
Defensive zone
Vermette 61.1%
Neutral zone
Vermette 68.0%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Vermette
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vermette
Bozak
Last 8: Vermette 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
1
Vermette
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Vermette
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
54.2% (962)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
57.9% (266)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
52.1% (188)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vermette is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Vermette shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Vermette
Bozak
Home
55.8% (749)
58.6% (732)
Away
55.4% (791)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Vermette
Bozak
P1
54.9%
54.1%
P2
59.2%
55.0%
P3
52.5%
54.1%
OT
55.3%
65.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |