Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Bozak 52.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 64.7%
Defensive zone
Vermette 75.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 84.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Vermette
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Vermette
Bozak
Last 7: Vermette 6-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
0
Vermette
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Vermette
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
51.7% (913)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
55.9% (211)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
54.9% (51)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vermette is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Vermette shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Vermette
Bozak
Home
58.7% (547)
52.8% (615)
Away
54.6% (593)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Vermette
Bozak
P1
58.6%
52.5%
P2
58.7%
51.1%
P3
52.7%
55.2%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |