Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 56.4%). Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Bozak 55.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 50.8%
Defensive zone
Vermette 58.8%
Neutral zone
Vermette 57.8%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Vermette
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Vermette
Bozak
Last 7: Vermette 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Vermette
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
56.4% (837)
-2.3%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
60.8% (186)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
33.3% (36)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vermette is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Vermette shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Vermette
Bozak
Home
55.9% (690)
58.7% (516)
Away
55.7% (661)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Vermette
Bozak
P1
51.8%
55.7%
P2
55.0%
53.4%
P3
60.3%
59.7%
OT
60.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |