Scouting Report
Anton Lander holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Lander wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 54.0% vs Paquette 49.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 57.1%
Defensive zone
Lander 69.5%
Neutral zone
Lander 59.0%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Lander
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lander
Paquette
Last 5: Lander 3-2 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lander
2
0
Lander
Paquette
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Paquette
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Lander
Paquette
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (507)
53.0% (215)
+1.8%
Power Play
63.5% (52)
54.5% (11)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (134)
36.8% (57)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Lander has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Lander is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Lander shoots left. Paquette is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Lander
Paquette
Home
55.6% (315)
52.1% (167)
Away
53.7% (378)
46.6% (116)
By Period
Lander
Paquette
P1
51.8%
48.8%
P2
55.3%
51.0%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.5%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |