Scouting Report
Anton Lander holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs Roy 47.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 73.6%
Defensive zone
Lander 56.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 58.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Lander
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lander
Roy
Last 7: Lander 2-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lander
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Lander
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
46.4% (3,031)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
53.6% (560)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
46.8% (267)
-4.5%
On even strength, Lander has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Lander is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,134).
Lander shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Lander
Roy
Home
52.2% (929)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
48.6% (915)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Lander
Roy
P1
46.4%
47.6%
P2
52.8%
46.2%
P3
52.3%
48.5%
OT
30.0%
43.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Anton Lander |