Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs Tavares 54.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.9%
Defensive zone
Lander 73.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Lander
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Lander
Tavares
Last 10: Lander 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
8
Lander
Tavares
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
6
0
Lander
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
2
1
Lander
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
56.5% (4,283)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
50.6% (620)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lander is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,134).
Lander shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Lander
Tavares
Home
52.2% (929)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.6% (915)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Lander
Tavares
P1
46.4%
55.0%
P2
52.8%
54.1%
P3
52.3%
54.1%
OT
30.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Anton Lander |