Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lander 71.9%
Neutral zone
Lander 50.5%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lander
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Lander
Stastny
Last 10: Lander 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
9
Lander
Stastny
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
11
2
Lander
Stastny
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Lander
Stastny
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lander is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,134).
Lander shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Lander
Stastny
Home
52.2% (929)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.6% (915)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lander
Stastny
P1
46.4%
56.3%
P2
52.8%
55.4%
P3
52.3%
53.5%
OT
30.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Anton Lander |