Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.7%). Look for Lander on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lander wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 53.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.0%
Defensive zone
Lander 58.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 61.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Lander
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lander
Stastny
Last 9: Lander 5-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Lander
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
5
0
Lander
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lander
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (105)
55.4% (1,004)
+2.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.0% (210)
-59.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
54.1% (196)
-2.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lander is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Lander shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Lander
Stastny
Home
59.7% (62)
56.5% (717)
Away
53.2% (79)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Lander
Stastny
P1
51.3%
56.7%
P2
61.1%
57.7%
P3
54.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
56.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |