Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 54.0% vs Kesler 58.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Lander leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 65.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 69.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Lander
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lander
Kesler
Last 10: Lander 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lander
3
2
Lander
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
4
1
Lander
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (507)
58.6% (1,138)
-3.8%
Power Play
63.5% (52)
64.5% (186)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (134)
55.0% (351)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lander is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Lander shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Lander
Kesler
Home
55.6% (315)
61.0% (859)
Away
53.7% (378)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Lander
Kesler
P1
51.8%
59.1%
P2
55.3%
56.5%
P3
57.1%
60.5%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.4%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |