Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.1% vs Smith 51.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Lander leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lander 53.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.1%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lander
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lander
Smith
Last 10: Lander 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lander
3
2
Lander
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
3
2
Lander
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
2
1
Lander
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (383)
53.7% (449)
-1.7%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
80.0% (10)
-35.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
43.1% (102)
-9.8%
On power play, Smith has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lander is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Lander shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Lander
Smith
Home
52.1% (217)
55.0% (280)
Away
48.3% (234)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Lander
Smith
P1
44.7%
52.3%
P2
54.0%
52.1%
P3
50.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.1%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:16 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |