Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miettinen wins 35.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miettinen 43.0% vs Thornton 54.1% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miettinen 86.0%
Defensive zone
Miettinen 74.0%
Neutral zone
Miettinen 82.0%
Result
Antti Miettinen favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Miettinen
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Miettinen
Thornton
Last 6: Miettinen 0-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Miettinen
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Miettinen
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miettinen
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (82)
52.8% (922)
-17.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.1% (196)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
62.0% (100)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Miettinen is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Miettinen shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Miettinen
Thornton
Home
36.4% (44)
54.9% (597)
Away
35.7% (56)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Miettinen
Thornton
P1
29.0%
53.0%
P2
43.9%
51.2%
P3
32.1%
57.8%
Final 5 min
59.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miettinen
26.0%▼
36.0%
36.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |