Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miettinen wins 31.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miettinen 42.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miettinen 89.0%
Defensive zone
Miettinen 75.3%
Neutral zone
Miettinen 88.6%
Result
Antti Miettinen favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Miettinen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Miettinen
Kesler
Last 8: Miettinen 1-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Miettinen
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Miettinen
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miettinen
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miettinen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (93)
56.4% (8,095)
-22.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
60.7% (1,437)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
50.5% (1,908)
-17.2%
On even strength, Kesler has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Miettinen is 31.0% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Miettinen shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Miettinen
Kesler
Home
37.5% (56)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
34.8% (69)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Miettinen
Kesler
P1
25.6%
56.5%
P2
42.6%
55.9%
P3
37.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miettinen
26.0%▼
36.0%
36.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Antti Miettinen |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |