Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 49.0%). Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suomela wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Howden 49.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 61.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 55.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Suomela
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Suomela
Howden
Last 5: Suomela 0-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
2
Suomela
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Suomela
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
49.6% (2,905)
-1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.5% (111)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
43.2% (315)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Suomela is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Suomela shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Home / Away
Suomela
Howden
Home
53.0% (183)
48.4% (1,608)
Away
42.7% (164)
49.6% (1,723)
By Period
Suomela
Howden
P1
50.5%
49.5%
P2
43.3%
48.0%
P3
51.4%
49.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Brett Howden |