Scouting Report
Antti Suomela holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suomela on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suomela wins 62.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 52.3% vs Faksa 49.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 87.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 62.5%
Neutral zone
Suomela 65.7%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Suomela
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Suomela
Faksa
Last 5: Suomela 4-1 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
2
0
Suomela
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suomela
2
1
Suomela
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (90)
49.0% (610)
+5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
58.4% (77)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.8% (123)
-48.8%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Suomela is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Suomela shoots left. Faksa is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Home / Away
Suomela
Faksa
Home
56.3% (71)
51.3% (390)
Away
50.0% (22)
48.6% (420)
By Period
Suomela
Faksa
P1
55.2%
50.4%
P2
53.3%
49.4%
P3
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
54.8%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |