Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Suomela wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 53.7%
Defensive zone
Suomela 51.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Suomela
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Suomela
Steel
Last 8: Suomela 0-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Suomela
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Suomela
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
5
Suomela
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
50.5% (2,871)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
62.6% (179)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
37.8% (246)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suomela is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Suomela shoots left. Steel is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,067).
Home / Away
Suomela
Steel
Home
53.0% (183)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
42.7% (164)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Suomela
Steel
P1
50.5%
51.9%
P2
43.3%
49.5%
P3
51.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |