Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Bedard 46.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 57.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 57.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 55.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Kopitar
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Bedard
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Kopitar
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
44.2% (450)
+10.7%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
70.0% (30)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
53.8% (13)
-3.1%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Bedard
Home
56.8% (533)
50.7% (223)
Away
55.3% (535)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Kopitar
Bedard
P1
55.9%
40.8%
P2
57.1%
48.2%
P3
55.4%
48.0%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |