Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.4% vs Backes 54.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 55.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 69.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Kopitar
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Kopitar
Backes
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Backes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
3
Kopitar
Backes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
2
Kopitar
Backes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,066)
54.5% (822)
-2.6%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
58.9% (141)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (172)
51.5% (167)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Kopitar is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (585).
Kopitar shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Backes
Home
53.6% (722)
55.3% (524)
Away
51.6% (708)
54.0% (606)
By Period
Kopitar
Backes
P1
52.5%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
54.2%
P3
54.1%
57.1%
OT
53.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 01:44 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |