Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.9% vs MacKenzie 57.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 70.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 78.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 55.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Kopitar
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
MacKenzie
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Kopitar
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (700)
61.0% (264)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
100.0% (4)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (68)
49.1% (55)
+2.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Kopitar is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (668).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKenzie
Home
55.3% (414)
62.1% (145)
Away
51.5% (474)
57.3% (178)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKenzie
P1
54.4%
51.6%
P2
54.0%
59.8%
P3
50.7%
65.8%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |