Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Kuznetsov 47.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 66.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
Last 7: Kopitar 2-5 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
3
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
47.7% (1,028)
+5.1%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
50.0% (94)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
40.0% (15)
+8.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kopitar is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,060).
Kopitar shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
Home
53.7% (918)
49.8% (592)
Away
53.3% (858)
45.5% (545)
By Period
Kopitar
Kuznetsov
P1
52.9%
49.0%
P2
53.6%
49.3%
P3
53.4%
45.3%
OT
64.3%
40.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.5%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |