Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.9% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 79.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 72.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 74.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Kopitar
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kopitar
Nielsen
Last 8: Kopitar 2-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Kopitar
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
4
Kopitar
Nielsen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,295)
47.6% (836)
+7.7%
Power Play
53.5% (271)
53.2% (47)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (249)
38.0% (158)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Kopitar is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Kopitar shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nielsen
Home
55.6% (901)
50.4% (508)
Away
52.7% (915)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Kopitar
Nielsen
P1
53.3%
48.1%
P2
55.3%
44.6%
P3
53.6%
46.8%
OT
59.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |