Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Iginla shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 49.9% vs Iginla 53.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 76.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 56.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.9%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kopitar
Iginla
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kopitar
Iginla
Last 7: Kopitar 5-2 Iginla
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Iginla
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Iginla
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Iginla
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Iginla
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (897)
54.4% (259)
-5.2%
Power Play
56.0% (168)
55.1% (147)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (73)
27.3% (11)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Iginla shoots right. Kopitar is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Kopitar shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Iginla
Home
50.0% (600)
61.1% (203)
Away
49.8% (560)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Kopitar
Iginla
P1
49.3%
57.6%
P2
53.0%
50.4%
P3
46.9%
56.2%
OT
52.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
49.9%
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2011 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2011 | OT | 02:57 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 10, 2010 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |