Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 49.9% vs Ward 49.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 61.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 62.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kopitar
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Ward
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Ward
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
2
Kopitar
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (897)
51.0% (96)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.0% (168)
57.1% (35)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (73)
36.1% (36)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Kopitar is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Kopitar shoots left. Ward is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Ward
Home
50.0% (600)
48.6% (74)
Away
49.8% (560)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Kopitar
Ward
P1
49.3%
43.4%
P2
53.0%
56.9%
P3
46.9%
46.4%
OT
52.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
49.9%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Joel Ward |