Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Ward 48.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 86.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 75.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Kopitar
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kopitar
Ward
Last 9: Kopitar 6-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
Ward
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
2
Kopitar
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
49.3% (353)
+3.5%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
69.0% (42)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
34.7% (98)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Kopitar is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Kopitar shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Ward
Home
53.7% (918)
48.4% (219)
Away
53.3% (858)
47.8% (274)
By Period
Kopitar
Ward
P1
52.9%
43.0%
P2
53.6%
51.4%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.5%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |