Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.5% vs Komarov 46.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 59.6%
Defensive zone
Komarov 71.7%
Neutral zone
Komarov 53.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Kopitar
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Komarov
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Komarov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
2
Kopitar
Komarov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Kopitar
Komarov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,288)
42.9% (56)
+10.1%
Power Play
61.3% (194)
42.9% (7)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (211)
46.0% (139)
-3.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Kopitar is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,073).
Kopitar shoots left. Komarov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Komarov
Home
55.7% (853)
49.5% (103)
Away
49.6% (840)
40.4% (99)
By Period
Kopitar
Komarov
P1
50.2%
49.1%
P2
54.7%
39.0%
P3
52.7%
49.3%
OT
56.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |