Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.1%). Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.5% vs Thompson 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 62.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 51.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kopitar
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kopitar
Thompson
Last 8: Kopitar 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
Kopitar
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,288)
56.3% (199)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.3% (194)
66.7% (6)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (211)
35.0% (40)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Kopitar is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,073).
Kopitar shoots left. Thompson is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thompson
Home
55.7% (853)
59.5% (116)
Away
49.6% (840)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Kopitar
Thompson
P1
50.2%
47.4%
P2
54.7%
56.2%
P3
52.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |