Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.9%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.1% vs Marleau 52.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 77.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 54.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Kopitar
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kopitar
Marleau
Last 7: Kopitar 5-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Marleau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Kopitar
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,045)
56.4% (234)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.6% (235)
60.0% (10)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (171)
39.1% (64)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Kopitar is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Kopitar shoots left. Marleau is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Marleau
Home
53.1% (748)
52.7% (167)
Away
53.5% (703)
53.2% (141)
By Period
Kopitar
Marleau
P1
51.0%
51.5%
P2
52.6%
51.2%
P3
56.1%
55.9%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |