Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Umberger 49.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 51.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 81.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 70.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Kopitar
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kopitar
Umberger
Last 7: Kopitar 4-3 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
2
Kopitar
Umberger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Umberger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Umberger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
50.6% (164)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
49.1% (114)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
40.0% (25)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Kopitar shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Umberger
Home
52.1% (703)
48.8% (166)
Away
55.5% (715)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Kopitar
Umberger
P1
54.9%
43.7%
P2
56.3%
52.6%
P3
49.5%
51.4%
OT
65.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.8%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |