Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Anisimov wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 47.4% vs Roy 50.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anisimov 77.5%
Defensive zone
Anisimov 69.7%
Neutral zone
Anisimov 81.9%
Result
Artem Anisimov favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Anisimov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Anisimov
Roy
Last 5: Anisimov 0-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Anisimov
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Anisimov
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (268)
50.3% (1,010)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
53.3% (169)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
51.1% (133)
-3.4%
On even strength, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Anisimov is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Anisimov shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Roy
Home
50.8% (124)
52.4% (683)
Away
44.3% (221)
48.6% (646)
By Period
Anisimov
Roy
P1
47.2%
48.3%
P2
45.9%
49.5%
P3
48.6%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
46.7%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |