Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 44.6% vs Stepan 47.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Anisimov leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 81.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 65.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Anisimov
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Anisimov
Stepan
Last 10: Anisimov 7-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
3
0
Anisimov
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
3
1
Anisimov
Stepan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Anisimov
4
3
Anisimov
Stepan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (862)
46.6% (889)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.0% (151)
46.9% (113)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (135)
47.5% (101)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Anisimov is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Anisimov shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Stepan
Home
47.7% (621)
47.7% (555)
Away
40.0% (527)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Anisimov
Stepan
P1
42.4%
46.4%
P2
44.9%
45.7%
P3
44.7%
48.5%
OT
83.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
44.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |