Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 47.4% vs Spezza 53.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anisimov 78.6%
Defensive zone
Anisimov 78.0%
Neutral zone
Anisimov 79.7%
Result
Artem Anisimov favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Anisimov
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Anisimov
Spezza
Last 5: Anisimov 0-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Anisimov
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Anisimov
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (268)
53.8% (1,283)
-9.0%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
52.8% (303)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
49.4% (89)
-1.7%
On even strength, Spezza has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Anisimov is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Anisimov shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Spezza
Home
50.8% (124)
56.4% (853)
Away
44.3% (221)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Anisimov
Spezza
P1
47.2%
53.4%
P2
45.9%
54.2%
P3
48.6%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
46.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |