Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 46.2% vs Spezza 53.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anisimov 55.6%
Defensive zone
Anisimov 79.2%
Neutral zone
Anisimov 69.7%
Result
Artem Anisimov favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Anisimov
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Anisimov
Spezza
Last 5: Anisimov 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Anisimov
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Anisimov
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (176)
53.0% (998)
-10.4%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
58.5% (248)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
50.0% (16)
+3.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Anisimov is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Anisimov shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Spezza
Home
47.6% (145)
56.4% (626)
Away
39.3% (84)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Anisimov
Spezza
P1
46.4%
56.9%
P2
43.2%
51.9%
P3
43.5%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
44.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |