Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Anisimov wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 45.7% vs Monahan 49.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 55.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Anisimov
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Anisimov
Monahan
Last 9: Anisimov 5-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Anisimov
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
3
1
Anisimov
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Anisimov
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (85)
46.4% (532)
-4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
59.1% (132)
-59.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Anisimov is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Anisimov shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Monahan
Home
52.5% (40)
49.0% (355)
Away
31.3% (48)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Anisimov
Monahan
P1
42.9%
49.8%
P2
43.8%
46.6%
P3
35.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
40.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |