Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 44.6% vs Hertl 54.9% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anisimov 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 79.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 76.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Anisimov
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Anisimov
Hertl
Last 5: Anisimov 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
2
1
Anisimov
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
1
0
Anisimov
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Anisimov
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (862)
55.0% (382)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.0% (151)
59.7% (67)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (135)
75.0% (8)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Anisimov is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Anisimov shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Hertl
Home
47.7% (621)
58.8% (221)
Away
40.0% (527)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Anisimov
Hertl
P1
42.4%
52.6%
P2
44.9%
53.6%
P3
44.7%
62.4%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
44.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |