Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Staal 50.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 63.7%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 63.0%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 62.3%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Czarnik
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Czarnik
Staal
Last 8: Czarnik 3-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Czarnik
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
50.5% (10,347)
-4.7%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
53.5% (2,023)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
44.2% (781)
-6.7%
On power play, Staal has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Staal
Home
45.1% (335)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
45.6% (331)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Czarnik
Staal
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
47.4%
51.1%
P3
40.6%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |