Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Letestu 52.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 53.3%
Defensive zone
Letestu 85.5%
Neutral zone
Letestu 69.2%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Czarnik
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Czarnik
Letestu
Last 5: Czarnik 3-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
0
Czarnik
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Czarnik
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Czarnik
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
53.3% (4,565)
-7.5%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
56.0% (687)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
44.2% (1,005)
-6.7%
On power play, Letestu has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Czarnik shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Letestu
Home
45.1% (335)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
45.6% (331)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Czarnik
Letestu
P1
47.8%
51.5%
P2
47.4%
55.0%
P3
40.6%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
51.8%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |