Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Letestu 50.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 60.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 88.6%
Neutral zone
Letestu 64.5%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Czarnik
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Czarnik
Letestu
Last 5: Czarnik 3-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
0
Czarnik
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Czarnik
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Czarnik
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (116)
50.9% (582)
-5.2%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
56.8% (125)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
45.0% (189)
-16.4%
On power play, Letestu has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Czarnik shoots right. Letestu is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Letestu
Home
42.6% (61)
48.5% (423)
Away
43.1% (72)
52.2% (473)
By Period
Czarnik
Letestu
P1
39.6%
54.0%
P2
55.8%
50.5%
P3
27.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.9%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |