Austin Czarnik vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Poehling 48.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 57.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 83.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 68.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Czarnik
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Czarnik
Poehling
Last 6: Czarnik 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
1
Czarnik
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
49.4% (2,726)
-3.6%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
51.6% (93)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
41.6% (623)
-4.1%
On power play, Poehling has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Poehling
Home
45.1% (335)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
45.6% (331)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Czarnik
Poehling
P1
47.8%
50.9%
P2
47.4%
47.0%
P3
40.6%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |