Scouting Report
Austin Watson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 46.0% vs Coleman 43.2% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Watson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Coleman 55.9%
Neutral zone
Coleman 53.3%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Watson
Coleman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Coleman
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (182)
45.3% (1,062)
+0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
32.6% (43)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (47)
35.7% (322)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coleman shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Watson shoots right. Coleman is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Watson
Coleman
Home
44.2% (113)
44.4% (664)
Away
44.3% (122)
41.3% (763)
By Period
Watson
Coleman
P1
40.5%
42.2%
P2
46.2%
44.6%
P3
46.6%
41.6%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Coleman
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%