Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 46.0% vs Emmerton 47.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 59.5%
Defensive zone
Watson 65.9%
Neutral zone
Watson 54.3%
Result
Austin Watson favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Watson
Emmerton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Watson
Emmerton
Last 5: Watson 2-3 Emmerton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Watson
Emmerton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Watson
Emmerton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
0
1
Watson
Emmerton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Emmerton
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (182)
47.1% (764)
-0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
45.5% (11)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (47)
52.5% (59)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Emmerton shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Watson shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Watson
Emmerton
Home
44.2% (113)
47.2% (453)
Away
44.3% (122)
47.8% (381)
By Period
Watson
Emmerton
P1
40.5%
45.4%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
46.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Austin Watson |