Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Watson wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 47.2% vs Scheifele 43.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 58.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Watson
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Watson
Scheifele
Last 6: Watson 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Watson
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Watson
2
0
Watson
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Watson
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (34)
43.9% (1,136)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
38.6% (88)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Watson is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Watson shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Watson
Scheifele
Home
45.5% (11)
45.3% (739)
Away
38.7% (31)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Watson
Scheifele
P1
35.3%
45.6%
P2
27.3%
42.6%
P3
57.1%
42.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
40.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Austin Watson |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |