Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 46.0% vs Marchant 48.3% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Watson 61.4%
Defensive zone
Marchant 63.5%
Neutral zone
Marchant 51.8%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Watson
Marchant
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (182)
50.5% (368)
-4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (47)
42.4% (158)
-4.1%
On power play, Watson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Watson shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Watson
Marchant
Home
44.2% (113)
50.3% (302)
Away
44.3% (122)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Watson
Marchant
P1
40.5%
46.3%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
46.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%